MM’s weekend wager: Bet on goal flurry in Manchester City’s Liverpool clash and Fulham to throw away lead

By Dominic Claeys-Jackson

There’s never a good time to break the news to your other half that it was the referee who lost you hundreds, or you were sure that bet was a banker.

But with MM’s weekly Premier League punter betting guide, you can boost your chances of finding the best odds if you fancy a flutter on Greater Manchester’s top-flight teams.


Wigan Athletic v Southampton, DW Stadium, Saturday 3pm

Wigan (5/4, William Hill); Draw (12/5, Coral); Southampton (5/2, Ladbrokes)

Wigan host fellow relegation candidates Southampton, knowing they can move level on points with their opponents with victory.

The Latics will move out of the drop zone if they better Reading’s result against Sunderland, and will hope to build on Tuesday’s hard-earned 2-2 draw at Stoke.

However, the omens do not look good for Wigan, and they are well worth taking on given their curiously short odds of 5/4.

Roberto Martinez’s side have lost four of their last five league home games and have not kept a clean sheet in 13.

Meanwhile, Southampton have lost just two of their last seven Premier League away games – single-goal defeats at Anfield and Old Trafford.

The Saints therefore look easily the better value, but there are enough question marks to restrict backing to the draw no bet market (6/4, Coral).

Given Southampton’s love of throwing away leads, backing them to score first (13/10, Ladbrokes) or to score first but fail to win (Blue Square, 4/1) also look good shouts.

If you do fancy new boss Mauricio Pochettino to get his first Southampton victory, then the Saints to win but fail to keep a clean sheet is 11/2 (Coral).

Alternatively, if you feel the Latics can stop the rot, a Wigan clean sheet is 23/10 (Coral), with the 0-0 draw at 11/1 (William Hill).

Franco di Santo is 7/4 (Ladbrokes) to score at any time – remarkably short odds given the former Chelsea man has not scored at the DW since October.

Tip: Southampton Draw No Bet (6/4, Coral)


Fulham v Manchester United, Craven Cottage, Saturday 5.30pm

Fulham (5/1, Ladbrokes); Draw (16/5, Betfred); Manchester United (4/6, William Hill)

Manchester United visit Fulham in the teatime kick-off, with both teams going into the game on the back of Wednesday home victories.

United’s 2-1 defeat of Southampton fired the league leaders seven points clear, while the Cottagers moved into 12th with a 3-1 win over West Ham.

The Reds demolished Martin Jol’s men 4-1 in last week’s FA Cup tie at Old Trafford, but still look a touch short-priced at 4/6.

Yes, United are unbeaten in their last 12 league games, have defeated Fulham in five of their last six league matches and should have enough to win.

But with the Londoners looking for revenge, David de Gea under pressure and the Reds remaining defensively suspect, the draw (16/5) offers better value.

Fulham have conceded in each of their last ten, but United have recorded only two clean sheets in their last 11 league away games themselves.

With Sir Alex Ferguson’s men recovering 27 points from losing positions this season – it is easy to envisage another salvage job from the comeback kings.

Indeed, Fulham to score first but fail to win is 4/1 (Blue Square) or – if you fancy United – Fulham to lead at halftime but lose is 25/1 (Betfred).

Fulham’s case will be helped by former United star Dimitar Berbatov, who scored three in four against the Cottagers in a red shirt.

The Bulgarian is 10/3 (Coral) to score anytime, but – with six of his eight Fulham goals coming before half-time – first goalscorer (9/1, Coral) may be worth a shot.

Meanwhile, Wayne Rooney has scored four in four against Fulham, and William Hill quote him 9/2 first goalscorer and 6/5 to score anytime.

Tip: Fulham to score first but fail to win (4/1, Blue Square)


Manchester City v Liverpool, Etihad Stadium, Sunday 4pm

Manchester City (17/20, William Hill); Draw (11/4, Ladbrokes); Liverpool (7/2, Betfred)

Manchester City welcome Liverpool to the Etihad on Sunday, hoping to bounce back from Tuesday’s disappointing stalemate with relegation-threatened Queens Park Rangers.

Liverpool threw away a two-goal lead in their 2-2 draw away to Arsenal on Wednesday, maintaining their not-so-proud record of not beating any top-ten side this season.

Like United, City are a touch too short to back at 17/20, because the outcome will be largely dictated by which Liverpool turns up at the Etihad.

At times this season, the Reds have looked fluid and dominating. At other points, they have looked like they couldn’t punch their way through a wet paper bag.

In the last eight Premier League contests between these two there have been five draws, meaning that fence-sitting may again be the best option at 11/4.

Roberto Mancini’s side have kept six consecutive clean sheets, with Bet365 quoting 7/4 that they manage to make it a seventh.

However, Liverpool have scored in their last 11 Premier League games, with three or more goals being scored (by both teams) in their last nine.

And, with Ladbrokes offering 7/4 for over 3.5 goals, it may be worth siding with the feeling that this game has got goals in it.

City’s Sergio Aguero is 11/8 (Ladbrokes) to score at any time, with the Reds’ top-scorer Luis Suarez a short 2/1 (Coral).

Elsewhere, Liverpool’s Daniel Sturridge is likely to start against his former club, and is 11/4 with Coral to score at any time and 8/1 to score first.

Tip: Draw (11/4, Ladbrokes)


Accumulator: Sit on the fence. The draw treble is quoted at 49/1 (William Hill)

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Image courtesy of Yahoo UK video, with thanks.

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