MM’s weekend wager: Manchester teams to earn points, but Chelsea to pile on misery for Wigan Athletic

By Dominic Claeys-Jackson

After two of last week’s tips came in, and with only Wayne Rooney’s late strike against Fulham denying a 49/1 accumulator, it’s time again to pick this weekend’s best bets.

Greater Manchester’s three Premier League teams are in action, so here is MM’s punter-friendly betting guide to help boost your chances of a win.

Chelsea vs. Wigan Athletic, Stamford Bridge, Saturday 3pm

Chelsea (4/11, Coral); Draw (9/2, Betfred); Wigan (9/1, Stan James)

With just one win in their last six games, Chelsea are horrific value for the win here – or at least would be, if they weren’t playing Wigan.

The Blues have lost just one of their last 15 Premier League meetings with the free-falling Latics, but still cannot be backed at such short odds given their current form.

Wigan are playing like relegation fetishists, winning just one of their last 12 league matches, and amassing just seven points – so avoid the win market.

Indeed, the most interesting alternative is Chelsea to score a penalty (4/1, Bet365), as both teams are league leaders in receiving and conceding spot-kicks respectively.

Rafa Benitez’s men have won eight league spot-kicks this season – with Wigan conceding seven – and, if awarded one, Frank Lampard will take it.

The in-form England international is 6/4 (Coral) anytime goalscorer, with joint top-scorer Juan Mata 7/5 (bwin) – both scoring anytime is 17/5 (William Hill).

Indeed, with the Blues scoring two goals in each of their last four games and Wigan keeping just one clean sheet in their last 15, a Latics shut-out seems impossible.

Over 3.5 goals is 5/4 (William Hill) – not the best value in the world but, if all clicks for the Champions League holders, there could prove to be a sound choice.

With Chelsea surrendering seven points from winning positions in their last four league games, Wigan coming from behind to draw or win is a brave 17/2 (William Hill).

Finally, striker Demba Ba has scored four in four against the Latics, and the former Newcastle man is evens (Coral) to do so again.

Tip: Chelsea to score a penalty (4/1, Bet365)

Southampton vs. Manchester City, St. Mary’s Stadium, Saturday 5.30pm

Southampton (47/10, Pinnacle); Draw (16/5, Betfred); Manchester City (4/6, William Hill)

Despite Southampton’s failure to beat top-ten opposition this season and City’s nine wins in ten against bottom-eight teams, the stalemate is inexplicably alluring.

Although without a win under new boss Mauricio Pochettino, the Saints have deserved more – and they could inflict damage on the Blues, who have drawn their last two.

Southampton have shared the spoils five times against top-ten opposition, as well as in six of their last eight Premier League games – making 16/5 attractive value.

However, with Southampton again throwing away a lead against Wigan last week, laying them from a winning position is a tempting proposition.

It’s 15/2 (Ladbrokes) that City come from behind to win, 9/1 (William Hill) they come from behind to draw and 15/4 (William Hill) that either occurs – back the latter.

Historically, there’s goals in this fixture, and the over 3.5 goals (21/10, BetVictor) is not a bad shout if you fancy another goal-fest.

Edin Dzeko, scorer of five goals in his last six league appearances, is 5/1 first goalscorer (Bet365) and 11/8 anytime goalscorer (Boylesports).

Meanwhile, Rickie Lambert has scored five in his last eight – albeit all away from home – and Coral quote him 8/1 first goalscorer and 11/4 anytime goalscorer.

Tip: Draw (16/5, Betfred)

Manchester United v Everton, Old Trafford, Sunday 4pm

Manchester United (4/5, William Hill); Draw (3/1, Betfred); Everton (4/1, Ladbrokes)

Manchester United have lost none of their last 19 Premier League games against Everton at Old Trafford – winning 15 – and are, for once, not absolutely shocking value for the win.

However, despite racking up 11 wins in their last 13 league games, a tight game should be ensured by their tough opponents.

Losing just once in 13, Everton are primed for a Champions League place assault, and are always ready for a battle against the Reds.

With United recovering 27 points from losing position, coming from behind to draw or to win is attractive at 7/2 (William Hill).

If you fancy an increased risk, Ladbrokes quote Sir Alex Ferguson’s side coming from behind to draw at 17/2, and coming from behind to win 7/1.

Everton have scored 58% of their goals in the first half, but have also conceded 30% of their goals in the opening 15 minutes.

United to score their first goal within the first quarter of an hour is interesting at 3/1, while both teams to score in the first half is 10/3 (Coral).

Meanwhile, the game to have over 3.5 goals is 13/8 (Paddy Power), not bad value given last year’s 4-4 spectacular in this fixture.

Wayne Rooney has scored eight in his last seven, and is 9/2 first goalscorer (Bet365) and 6/5 (Boylesports) to net at any time against his old club.

Tip: Both teams to score in the first-half (10/3, Coral)

Treble: Chelsea to win, Manchester City and Manchester United to draw (21/1, Bet365)

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Image courtesy of BBC Sport via YouTube, with thanks.

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